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Golf betting tips: Masters preview and bets 2025
- Tom Ford
- Apr 8
- 7 min read
@fordysgolfpicks Masters Golf Tips
Jon Rahm 19/1 – 2pts Win
Justin Thomas 27/1 – 1pt Win
Shane Lowry 45/1 - 1pt Win
Min Woo Lee 40/1 - 1pt E/W (8 Places)
Robert MacIntyre 50/1 - 1pt E/W (8 Places)
JJ Spaun 125/1 – 1pt E/W (8 Places)
Another week, another favourite
For me, when it comes to the Greatest week in golf, which is clearly this week, more than ever especially now, there are so many opinions, so many takes, and its minefield of what if’s, but’s and maybe’s.
Whether you think Scottie can break history….whether it’s Morikawa and his lack of DAWG….Rory’s best chance ever of completing the grand slam….is Xander fit enough…..will Fat Pat be the most hated winner in history…..do we just all back Shaner and not return home from the pub til next weekend…..
Whatever is it, hopefully this short snappy to the point preview will go a way to help you with narrowing down your shortlist and heading to the bank with a clear mind.
My 4 main aspects for betting on the Masters 2025
This year's Masters once again promises to be a great spectacle. There is some questionable form, particularly around those who did well at Augusta last year, which opens up the betting market with some obvious angles. The field this year is clearly spilt into 3 camps leading up. We have Scottie and Rory, who are by far and above the best two golfers here, then we have a group of golfers from 20/1 to 50/1 who clearly have a chance of winning but need to remove their question marks in order to get over the line. And then we have a bunch of longshots who really are just prying for a high finish so they get an invite next year.
This year the weather looks to be set fair, different from what we have seen from the previous two years where both had wind and rain which spilt the field and offered up either an amazing weekend or one you just didn’t want to watch. In this years edition, I really don’t see that being the case, I see quick firm and fast greens, a bit of wind maybe to try and make the cut interesting on Friday but all in all the best tee-to-green golfers creating a really intense and interesting leaderboard come Sunday. Its former of those two elements is where I begin my 4 aspects to look at when looking at the betting markets for this year.
Firm and fast; with the lack of wind and rain and the softer conditions we may have seen in the more recent years, I believe the Accuracy off the tee will be far more pivotal than we’ve seen before. Giving yourself an iron in on the short stuff will really prevent any release and great control of your golf ball throughout the week, more than ever with the drying air and lack of wind to hold your ball up against. I also believe this year these conditions really bring in a high ball flight and high Distance to Apex golfers will definitely be on my radar compared with recent years.
Amazingly, we’ve seen putting become less of an importance at Augusta than ever before as well. For some reason, if you are gaining strokes on the field in Masters week, just that alone is enough for you to combine your tee to green stats to become the wearer of the next green jacket. I think what we have seen with Scottie Scheffler’s putting stroke in the last few years really emphasises that. I also believe we have just created far better focus on putting through elite pro-level golf in the last few years. Everyone has noticed if you can’t putt to at least average, you literally can’t win, and that seems to level out here now in Georgia despite the tough green complexes.
The real final aspect I wanted to write about to help with your betting cards was the premise on Experience and form. It’s so evident and obvious now with decades of stats at Augusta, you just have to play this course a few times before you can even think about winning it. The spots you don’t want to be in, the pressure, the crowds, the humps and bumps, everything about this week is meticulous and if you haven’t got the experience you just won’t be able to keep up with those that do.
I think your betting card this year more than any year needs to have the right balance of recent form and experience. Look for guys that have already come close to winning this year on tour or have already won. Look for major finishes and Masters top finishes and combine those golfers together in a shortlist and you really are not going to be far away from returning to the bookies with your bet slip. That’s an analogy by the way, who still walks into the bookmakers nowadays.
Masters Tournament Winners: 2024: Scottie Scheffler (-11); 2023: Jon Rahm (-12); 2022: Scottie Scheffler (-10); 2021: Hideki Matsuyama (-10); 2020: Dustin Johnson (-20); 2019: Tiger Woods (-13); 2018: Patrick Reed (-15); 2017: Sergio Garcia (-9); 2016: Danny Willett (-5); 2015: Jordan Spieth (-18); 2014: Bubba Watson (-8); 2013: Adam Scott (-9); 2012: Bubba Watson (-10); 2011: Charl Schwartzel (-14); 2010: Phil Mickelson (-16).
How I’ve made up the model this week;
SG Off the Tee
SG Around the Green
Total Driving
SG Approach 150-175 yards
Par 4 Performace
Driving Distance
Distance to Apex
Greens in Regulation
Bogey Avoidance
Event Average
Major Championship Form
Prox. To Hole
Recent Form
Bentgrass Positive
Scrambling
Event Average
Top 25 players in the model and my thoughts on each:
1 Rory McIlroy 13/2
Every man and his dog would love this history to be broken, the only thing stopping him is his mind
2 Scottie Scheffler 9/2
Would be better to just see him top 10, too short
3 Collin Morikawa 14/1
If he gains enough strokes around the greens, every chance
4 Jon Rahm 16/1
Tough to tell with our first indication in a full field of where his game is at, won’t surprised if he’s close again
5 Justin Thomas 22/1
His approach play right now is best in the world, if he can get out in front, has every chance
6 Russell Henley 50/1
Hasn’t got the balls to win, but guaranteed to finish well
7 Shane Lowry 35/1
Shaped into a top contender this year, really will be a popular winner and a community bet
8 Sepp Straka 66/1
Had him on my list since the beginning of the year, not sure why he’s under the radar again
9 Michael Kim 150/1
He’s not a rookie, but it feels like he is, in very good form
10 Hideki Matsuyama 28/1
Don’t know anymore what to do with Hideki, hard to read
11 Bryson DeChambeau 16/1
Will gain on the rest of the field off the tee, if he stays focused will finish high up
12 Robert MacIntyre 50/1
Suits Augusta, has great temperament, why not
13 Daniel Berger 100/1
Good sneaky EW pick
14 Tommy Fleetwood 33/1
Keeps bottling it at the big moments, would love to see it but can’t believe it
15 Patrick Cantlay 35/1
Don’t waste your money
16 J.J Spaun 125/1
Another great EW play, also has sneaky Masters form
17 MinWoo Lee 40/1
Ticks all the boxes, will just come down to experience
18 Keegan Bradley 100/1
Not sure he’s even sure if he’s good enough anymore, focus maybe elsewhere
19 Corey Conners 66/1
Tee to green specialist, will make the cut
20 Will Zalatoris 40/1
Approach numbers always high at Augusta, not sure we know enough after injuries
21 Nick Taylor 200/1
22 Cameron Smith 50/1
23 Xander Schauffele 20/1
People say it’s the value bet, it’s still a gamble
24 Christiaan Bez 200/1
25 Patrick Reed 66/1
Would be the worst double green jacket winner in history, don’t be surprised to see him there on Sunday
Please look out for @Golftipschecker final charts come Tuesday evening, as ever feel free to ask me any questions on X, good luck to everyone. @fordysgolfpicks
Jon Rahm – 19/1 - 2pts Win
Comes into this slightly under the radar and at odds we are not accustomed to. I think he’s more of a value play than Xander and for that reason he heads up my card. Previous winner, playing good golf, don’t hang around on this price.
Justin Thomas 27/1 - 1pts Win
I could of picked Bryson in this slot, I could of also had someone like Morikawa, but if I am comparing the year he’s had this year to those around him, everything points towards this being the time he lands a big one again. If he keeps the ball in the fairway and keeps double bogey’s off his card he can compete with anyone in this edition.
Shane Lowry 45/1 - 1pts Win
I think I’ve had money on Shaner at the Masters for every year he’s played in the event, and this time around it’s probably his best ever chance of winning. He hasn’t lost strokes Tee to Green since June last year, he’s had 8 top 10’s in that time, it’s a popular one, but if you are not on it and he does win, it will be the biggest kick in the teeth for any golf fan this year more than any.
Min Woo Lee – 40/1 1pt E/W (8 Places)
I believe the only thing holding Min Woo back was not getting over the line in any event. Now he’s done that on his previous start, yes the odds are shorter, but if you look at the type of players around him he’s not at a number he’s not worthy of. If he doesn’t spray it off the tee too much, he can gain huge number with the length and power he has, I won’t be surprised of a Top 5 finish.
Bob Macintyre – 50/1 1pt E/W (8 Places)
If you look back and look at the 18 months Bob has had from his performance at the Ryder Cup to now, it’s pretty unbelievable. He’s rose inside the top 20 in the world and probably should be even closer to the top 10 if he played more events. Augusta really suits his game, good around the greens, great tee to green and we all know this course is prime for left handers. Never missed the cut here either.
JJ Spaun – 125/1 1pt E/W (8 Places)
A second at the Players Championship, a second at PGA national and he is striping the ball as good as anyone right now. I believe in his short game and he proved that last year with a T23 on his debut. A price I cannot ignore.
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