D+D Real Czech Masters preview and betting card by Ashley Wilkes
D+D Real Czech Masters Golf Tips
John Catlin 33/1 1.5pt e/w 7 places – Betfair/PP
Antoine Rozner 40/1 1.25pt e/w 8 places – Bet 365
Sebastian Soderberg 50/1 1pt e/w 6 places – Skybet/Betfred
Gavin Green 70/1 0.75pt e/w 8 places – Ladbrokes
Lee Slattery 140/1 0.25pt e/w 8 places – Bet 365
Soren Kjeldsen 140/1 0.25pt e/w 8 places – Bet 365
After Ewen Ferguson got the article off to a winning start last week. We head to the Czech Republic for the start of a 3 week run of mainland European events with the Albatross Golf Resort playing host this week. This event has been hosted here 7 times and with winners varied as Jamie Donaldson and Johannes Veerman as well as Thomas Pieters winning twice it’s clear that any type of game can win here.
The top of the market is rightfully dominated by Thomas Pieters, the two-time winner here is clearly the best player in the field but at 7/1 and having not played for 5 weeks I found him easy enough to leave out, the same applies to Victor Perez who I’m a big fan of, just generally not at 16/1! The top selection therefore goes to John Catlin, the American was in the final group last week and while he disappointed yesterday, drifting from 16/1 to 33/1 seems a little over the top. He’s a 3 time winner on tour and deserves to be respected.
We then move to a 2 time tour winner in Antoine Rozner. I’ve been waiting for Rozner to tee it up after the links golf swing as he almost always has horrible putting stats on links greens and this year was no exception. With a return to parkland golf this week and his ball striking as good as ever, he should go close. A winner in the Czech Republic on the Challenge Tour just adds to my interest in him this week.
Sebastian Soderberg is the next selection; the Swede has been inconsistent this year with 8 missed cuts and 2 top 5’s. That’s the type of form I like when backing golfers, it gives you the required upside but without being found in the market and at 50/1 that’s exactly what I think about Soderberg. Too many times this year he’s either putted well and hit the ball badly or the opposite, he’s put it together twice and gone close twice and with a nice break since the Scottish Open this should be a good course fit for him, backed up by a solid 17th place finish last year.
The other interest in the middle of the market is Gavin Green, the big hitting Malaysian should have won last week in Singapore after opening with a pair of 65s. Before that he’d been threatening to show some good form on the DP World Tour with some impressive approach stats at both the Cazoo Classic and Barbasol Championship, couple that with a 3rd place finish here in 2018 and he’s got all the ingredients to go well again here providing last week hasn’t taken too much out of him.
Finally, we have two 140/1 longshots to finish the card, Lee Slattery and Soren Kjeldsen. Starting with Slattery, he’s hitting the ball brilliantly currently gaining over 1.5 strokes a round ball striking on average over the last month, only a cold putter stopping him competing in that time. He’s played in all 7 tournaments here and has both a 2nd and 4th place finish to go with that current form. Kjeldsen, also has 2 top 10 finishes in just 4 appearances here and despite a poor performance last time out at Celtic Manor also has some impressive ball striking stats. Celtic Manor is probably too long for him so I’m happy to dismiss that at a big price of 140/1.