top of page
  • Writer's pictureGTC

John Nelson's golf betting tips: BMW PGA Championship preview and bets 2023


Robert MacIntyre

John Nelson's BMW PGA Championship Golf Tips

LOWRY 18/1-3PTS EW 8PLS

HATTON 20/1- 3PTS EW 8 PLS

MIN WOO LEE 25/1- 2PTS EW 8PLS

SHARMA 175/1-0.5PTS EW 8PLS

ZANOTTI 190/1- 0.5PTS EW 8 PLS

SIEM 250/1- 0.5PTS EW 8PLS


We're back to Wentworth with a co-sanctioned event between the DP Tour and the PGA Tour. A strong field has assembled including 4 of the world's top-ten players, Mcllroy, Rahm, Hovland and Fitz.


This event is steeped in history, it's been a permanent fixture since 1984 and before that, the Viyella PGA Championship was played here from 1972-1974. Some really illustrious players have won here, including none other than 9 time major champion Seve Ballesteros who won here in 1991 beating Colin Montgomery in a play-off, who then went on to win three more times at Wentworth.


Course

West Course Wentworth Surrey

Par 73, Measuring 7,281, was designed by Harry Colt in 1926 and redesigned under the guidance of Ernie Els 2009/2016, the fairways are Bentgrass, Fescue, Poa Annua; Rough Rye, Fecue, Greens Bentgrass.


The course is a parkland style with many bunkers positioned strategically to catch the slightly wayward drive. Some fairways are hard to hit with some of them blind which will help the more accurate drivers of the ball. There are five par 5s with all of them rated as easy, the hardest one being the 17th, it's 610 yards but is still reachable in two due to the sloping fairway.

The greens have a sub-air system similar to the Masters, many of the greens have slopes and run-off areas which tests your scrambling and warrants a good short game.


KEY STATS

SG TTG

SG GIR

SG DRIV ACCURACY

SG SCRAMBLING

PAR 5 SCORING


PAST WINNERS TEN WINNERS

2022 LOWRY -17

2021 HORSCHEL -19

2020 HATTON -19

2019 WILLETT -20

2018 MOLINARI -17

2017 NOREN -11

2016 WOOD -9

2015 BENNY AN -21

2014 MCllROY -14

2013 MANASSERO -10

Golf Tips Checker Packages

LOWRY 18/1-3PTS EW 8PLS PP

Shane has shown great mental strength this year, it's been very tough not winning, and to top it he missed out on the Tour Championship. Having said that he's played excellent all year, missing only three cuts. He played well in three of the Majors and the one you'd expect him to play well in he missed the cut at Hoylake in the Open Championship. In his recent outing at his homeland we got to see the Shane of old, he finished T3rd only two shots off the leader, and his stats there were 12th OTT- 4th TTG- 9th APP- 50th ARG- 52nd PUTT, he's been solid with his stats all season on the big stage and its only a matter of time when he gets back on the winners podium and with him winning here last year, can only magnify his chances.


HATTON 20/1- 3PTS EW 8 PLS BF

Tyrrell has been a model of consistency all year with seven top 10s, he also played well in all four majors finishing no worse than 34th, and he only missed one cut all season, he didn't win this year but made it to the top 30 of the Tour Championships finishing 16th, gaining nearly two strokes TTG, only once all season has he lost strokes TTG, which is impressive, the same goes for his OTT game losing strokes in the same tournament. Hatton's stats all season have been on point, and I'm hoping it stays that way for at least a month with the Ryder Cup around the corner, and with him being a past winner here he's at the top of my list.


MIN WOO LEE 25/1- 2PTS EW 8PLS WH

Everyone loves a bit of Min Woo, he has an infectious energy about him, and he's shown to be a force to be reckoned with on the PGA Tour, with some solid efforts this year, he played really well in the US Open finishing T5th and showed he can do it on the big stage, he followed that with a T9th at the Travlers, his most recent opening at the Irish Open he finished T7th gaining 7.3TTG - 4.3OTT- and 3.4 APP, can't see why this 25tr old can't win a major at some point, he has a serious skill set.


SHARMA 175/1-0.5PTS EW 8PLS 365

Shubhankar is showing signs of turning this year around, he finished T8th in the Open Championship and T7th last week at the Irish Open, he started like a train shooting 65-66 but followed them with a 75 and 71, but can be happy the shape his game is in at the moment, he's an eight-time winner and it's been a few years since winning, but with his recent smart approach play, tee to green, and putting, he will be there fighting, one other thing he has some course form to drop onto the T9th in 2022 and T17 in 2019.


FABRIZIO ZANOTTI 190/1- 0.5PTS EW 8 PLS 365

World number 271 doesn't justify his recent form, he's been rolling back the years, with two excellent efforts, T4th at the Czech Masters with him gaining 7.6 TTG and 5.8 on Approach, and T24th at the Omega Masters with him gaining 9.14 TTG- 4.83 APP and 3.6 OTT, he finished T70th recently at the Irish Open, unfortunately not every course suits your game, but Wentworth is right down his alley, he's not won here but has made some stellar efforts, his course form reads T13- T20-T62-MC-T15-MC-T7-MC-T16-T24-T21.


SIEM 250/1- 0.5PTS EW 8PLS PP

250/1 for a winner already this year and has won on this tour five times is a real lack of respect, he's having the best season for some time, with five top 20s, two top tens and a win at the Hero Indian Open, which is not too dissimilar to Wentworth, his last start he finished T16th but didn't tell the true story, his normally trusty putter let him down, he was 1st in TTG- 5th APP- 10th OTT- 24th ARG and 87th PUTT, cant ignore the fact he's hitting the ball well, got to be worth a chance at a price.

Weekly live tip spreadsheet access. Updated in real-time, it's the only place online to keep track of the most tipped golfers for each PGA & DP World Tour event.

Comments


Commenting has been turned off.
bottom of page